NFP Tuesday, CPI Thursday, three watchlist earnings this week, NexGen CNSC hearing begins today. Data-heavy week after government shutdown delays.
Nikkei +0.8% to 54,254 on yen weakness. Hang Seng -1.1% (property/tech drag). Monday should get positive handoff from strong US Friday.
Stoxx 600 +0.9% to 617. Euro Stoxx 50 +1.2%. Stellantis -24% on $26B restructuring. Monday expected firmer.
No major geopolitical escalation. Iran risk elevated but stable (Polymarket: 25% Feb strike, 39% by Mar 31). Trump signed EO imposing tariffs on countries buying from Iran.
| Time (ET) | Release | Consensus | Prior | Significance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8:30 AM | December Retail Sales | TBD | TBD | Medium |
| 10:00 AM | November Factory Orders | TBD | TBD | Low |
| Date | Ticker | Thesis | Tier | Consensus | What to Watch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 2/11 | VRT | AI Infra | T1 | ~$1.23 EPS, $2.88B rev | Backlog growth, book-to-bill, power/cooling demand |
| Thu 2/12 | ANET | AI Infra | T1 | $0.76 EPS, ~$2.4B rev | AI campus revenue, 800G commentary. Piper Sandler upgrade |
| Thu 2/13 | CCJ | Nuclear | T1 | TBD | Contract price escalation, McArthur production discipline |
| Ticker | Last | Support | Resistance | Setup |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVDA | ~$185 | $167-172 | $207 | Oversold near support. BofA: selloff "indiscriminate." Earnings Feb 25 |
| TSM | ~$349 | $330 | $332 (breached) | Broke out. RSI 76.9 overbought. Watch for pullback |
| AVGO | ~$333 | $278 | $412 | +7.2% Friday. AI rev on track for 50% of total by FY-end |
| VRT | ~$186 | $145-150 | $200 | Reports tomorrow. Guided $2.81-2.89B Q4 rev |
| CEG | ~$247 | $317-324 | $345-360 | -14% on Calpine DOJ/FERC conditions. Reports Feb 19 |
| CCJ | ~$48-52 | Recent lows | — | Reports Thursday. Uranium spot pulled back to $85 from $101 |
| Ticker | Weekly Δ | Catalyst |
|---|---|---|
| PLTR | +8% | Blowout Q4: $1.41B rev (+70%), FY26 guide crushed estimates |
| SMCI | +15% | Record $12.7B rev (+123%), raised FY guide to $40B+ |
| MRVL | +8.2% Fri | Custom silicon rally |
| NVDA | +7.8% Fri | Led Friday chip dip-buy |
| CEG | -14% | Calpine deal: DOJ/FERC requiring divestitures |
| AMD | -5% | Beat on Q4 but Q1 guide disappointed |
| Date | Catalyst | Tickers | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9-12 | NexGen CNSC Rook I hearing Part 2 | NXE | High |
| Feb 11 | January NFP (delayed) | Broad market | Critical |
| Feb 13 | January CPI (delayed) | Broad market | Critical |
| Feb 19 | CEG Q4 earnings | CEG | High |
| Feb 25 | NVDA Q4 earnings | NVDA | Critical |
| Feb 26 | MRVL, RKLB, VST earnings | MRVL, RKLB, VST | High |
| Feb-Mar | Palisades nuclear restart | Nuclear sector | Medium |
| Mar 6-9 | Artemis II launch (NET) | LUNR, RKLB | Medium |