Morning Brief Archive

Daily pre-market analysis — overnight recap, economic calendar, watchlist activity, and today's playbook.

April 2026

Friday, April 10 HEAVY — CPI “most consequential release of the year” (3.4% y/y consensus, 1.0% m/m), TSMC 35% revenue record, INTC 25-yr high, VIX 19.27, oil $97.85, all 7 pre-market movers on watchlist, binary event day

Heavy Latest →

Thursday, April 9 HEAVY — Ceasefire fraying, oil +5.31% back toward $100, Core PCE + GDP + Claims 8:30 data dump, VIX 21.54, stagflation binary, CRWV +7.26% on Meta $21B, 30Y auction

Wednesday, April 8 HEAVY — Iran ceasefire relief rally, S&P +2.82%, VIX crushed −21.5% to 20.24, oil crashes −17%, gold ATH $4,816, FOMC Minutes 2 PM, 81 tickers >3%, $427M crypto short liquidations

Tuesday, April 7 HEAVY — Trump Hormuz deadline tonight, WTI $115 (+$5), VIX 25.53 surging, AVGO +3.35% on Anthropic/Google TPU deal, ASML export curbs, durable goods 8:30 ET, Google Cloud Next, binary event risk

Monday, April 6 MEDIUM — Iran ceasefire talks lift futures, ISM Services PMI sole release, VIX 25+, gold $4,714, DXY below 100, oil $110 pullback, BTC reclaims $69K

Friday, April 3 HEAVY — Jobs Friday (+65K consensus vs −92K prior), Artemis II space breakout (LUNR +18%, PL +16%), TSLA −5.25% delivery miss, Iran day 32, gold $4,703 ATH, VIX 23.87, Good Friday liquidity drain

Thursday, April 2 HEAVY — Iran war speech kills relief rally, oil surges +9% to $109–110, VIX 27.41, gold/equity/crypto all down (liquidation), Kospi −5.72%, Trump 9 PM address is the event

Wednesday, April 1 HEAVY — Iran peace hopes vs packed calendar (ADP + Retail Sales + ISM), Nikkei +5.24%, oil back under $100, NKE −10%, RH −17%, VIX 24.36, gold $4,776

March 2026

Tuesday, March 31 HEAVY — Q1 closes with JOLTS + Consumer Confidence, 4 FOMC speakers, Iran-Hormuz week 5, futures +0.91%, gold $4,602, WTI $103, VIX −6.24% to 28.70

Monday, March 30 HEAVY — Relief bounce meets 30-VIX wall, oil above $100 both benchmarks, Powell speaks 2:30 PM, S&P futures +0.63%, gold $4,570 ATH, USAR earnings, turn-of-month tailwind

Friday, March 27 HEAVY — VIX 29.51 threatens 30-handle, WTI $96.70 toward $100, GDP marquee event, BTC −3.97% ($300M liquidations), NRC Part 53 final rule, post-witch window ends

Thursday, March 26 HEAVY — Iran rejects talks, oil surges +3.84% WTI / +4.77% Brent, Nasdaq correction, META −$119B, NVDA below 200DMA, VIX 27.44, gold −3.85% liquidity crunch

Wednesday, March 25 HEAVY — Oil crashes −5.4% on Iran peace plan, gold surges to ATH $4,575, S&P +1.01%, ARM +12% in-house chip, Maven AI $13B, VIX −6.42% to 25.22

Tuesday, March 24 HEAVY — Iran re-escalation reverses Monday relief, oil back above $100, VIX +5% to 27.46, KKR junk downgrade & Apollo restricting redemptions, Flash PMIs & Durable Goods on deck

Monday, March 23 HEAVY — Iran strike postponement crashes oil −8%, relief rally S&P +2.18% / Russell +4.03%, gold 9th decline (z: −4.0), VIX −7.43%, post-witch bearish week begins

Friday, March 20 MEDIUM — Triple Witching + S&P Rebalance ($5-6T expiry), PL +15.73% defense EO breakout, SMCI −26% chip smuggling, Nikkei −3.38%, VIX 24.83

Thursday, March 19 MEDIUM — Hawkish Fed hold, Brent $114 (+6.57%) spiked to $119, gold anomaly −4.09%, BTC <$71K, Nikkei −3.38%, Triple Witch T−1, VIX 25.73

Wednesday, March 18 HEAVY — FOMC rate decision + first 2026 dot plot, Core PPI, MU earnings, Powell presser, T-2 Triple Witch, Brent $105, VIX 22.10

Tuesday, March 17 LIGHT — FOMC Day 1, GTC afterglow, space surges (RKLB +6.6%), Brent $103 (+2.6%), pre-Triple Witch T-3 edge, VIX 23.07

Monday, March 16 MEDIUM — FOMC + Triple Witch convergence week begins, NVIDIA GTC, futures green, VIX −6%, Brent $103, BTC $73.5K, ETH +7.2%

Friday, March 13 HEAVY — Brent $100 (+8.57%) Hormuz disruption, Core PCE + GDP + JOLTS data dump, ADBE −8% CEO exit, Russell −1.67%, FOMC Tue + Triple Witch Fri next week

Thursday, March 12 HEAVY — Oil touches $100 on Iran tanker attacks, PPI + Claims day, Brent +5.5%, recession pricing, SYK wiper malware, FOMC + Triple Witch next week

Wednesday, March 11 HEAVY — CPI day with oil spiking on Iran war escalation, VIX 25.29, ORCL +9.5% cloud beat, AVAV −10.3%, FOMC + Triple Witch next week

Tuesday, March 10 LIGHT — Oil crashes -8% on Iran ceasefire signal, global risk-on (Nikkei +2.88%, DAX +2.38%), BTC +4.6% through $70K, AVAV/UEC earnings, VIX 24.76

Monday, March 9 LIGHT — WTI $102 (+12.2%) Iran escalation, VIX 31.59 fear regime, Nikkei -5.2%, HIMS +42%, NVDA at SMA200, T-9 Triple Witch, FOMC next week

Friday, March 6 HEAVY — NFP 59K consensus, WTI $86 (+6.15%) Iran supply panic, VIX 25.80, MRVL +11.3% breakout, Dow worst week in 5 years, 3 FOMC speakers

Thursday, March 5 MEDIUM — Kospi +6.3% reversal, AVGO +6.4% AI chip blowout, oil +2.9% Hormuz fears, BTC $72.8K, MRVL earnings, weekly claims

Wednesday, March 4 MEDIUM — Asia cratered (Kospi -6.6%), Europe diverges +1.5%, AVGO/OKTA/NXE/RGTI earnings, ADP + ISM Services, BTC surges to $71K

Tuesday, March 3 HEAVY — Oil +7% drives global selloff, Kospi -6%, DAX -3.3%, VIX 25+, CRWD earnings, AVGO tomorrow, Iran "Epic Fury" escalation

Monday, March 2 MEDIUM — U.S.-Iran conflict (Operation Epic Fury) Day 3, oil +8.5%, defense surges (LMT +6%, RTX +5.7%), VIX +18% to 23.51, ISM Manufacturing

February 2026

Friday, February 27 HEAVY — Core PPI +0.8% (3x consensus), VIX +16% to 21.61, CRWV -13%, ZS -12%, SQ +24%, 25+ watchlist names >3% down, stagflation fears mount

Thursday, February 26 HEAVY — 8 watchlist earnings (RKLB, ZS, VST, MP), NVIDIA post-earnings digestion, weekly claims, IONQ +15% quantum milestone, oil -2%

Wednesday, February 25 HEAVY — NVDA earnings day (options pricing smallest swing in 3 years), IONQ reports, 3 FOMC speakers, crypto rebounds +5-7%, gold $5,201

Tuesday, February 24 HEAVY — AMD-Meta $100B AI deal, IBM worst day in 26 years, 6 FOMC speakers, consumer confidence, NVDA earnings tomorrow, crypto plunge

Monday, February 23 HEAVY — Tariff regime reset to 15%, gold surges past $5,100, VIX +6.44%, KTOS/BWXT earnings, NVDA Wed is the week's event

Friday, February 20 HEAVY — Triple macro dump (GDP + Core PCE + Flash PMIs), monthly OpEx, Supreme Court tariff ruling pending, U.S.-Iran risk, gold $5,044 new highs

Thursday, February 19 FOMC hawkish overhang, 13 releases inc. claims & 3 Fed speakers, oil 6-mo highs on Iran, BTC longest losing streak since 2022, gold above $5K

Wednesday, February 18 FOMC Minutes at 7 PM, Meta-NVDA AI chip expansion, PANW −7% guidance miss, crude +2.9% on Iran tensions, gold nears $5K

Tuesday, February 17 PANW/LDOS/CEG earnings before open, VIX +5% to 22.28, UBS downgrades US tech, Nasdaq futures −0.88%, bearish bias

Monday, February 16 Presidents' Day — markets closed, PANW/LDOS/CEG earnings tomorrow, 38 names >3% up, quantum/nuclear/cyber rallying, VIX 20.60

Friday, February 13 CPI 2.4% cool print, ANET +8.3% AI earnings beat, AMAT +10.9%, PINS −22%, Gold breaks $5K, CCJ earnings, VIX 20.77

Thursday, February 12 CPI 2.9% cements higher-for-longer, ANET earnings AMC, MU +10% DRAM shock, CGNX +23% robotics breakout, 3 Fed speakers

Wednesday, February 11 NFP +130K shock, VRT blowout +252% orders, Powell Day 2, rate cuts pushed to July, software −3.5%

Tuesday, February 10 Light day — LEU earnings AMC, Google/Wiz EU verdict, NXE hearing Day 2, Nikkei record, gold above $5K

Monday, February 9 Delayed NFP/CPI week, ANET earnings, NXE hearing, Dow 50K, crypto crash