Friday, May 8, 2026
HEAVY EVENT LOAD

Jobs Friday into the AI-Infra Bid

NFP at 8:30 (65K cons / 178K prior — sharp deceleration call), prelim UoM Sentiment + 1-Yr Inflation Expectations at 10:00, Trump speech at 12:00, and an abnormal four-Fed-governor cluster after-hours (Waller, Bowman, Daly, Goolsbee 19:30 ET). Layered: a U.S.-Iran ceasefire markets are tentatively trusting, an AI-infra tape running hot (RBC lifted S&P target to 7,900), and a fresh round of single-name dispersion — AKAM +26%, FLNC +24.67%, FROG +14.85%, IREN +9.46%, RKLB +7.92% up; NET −16.99%, CRWV −7.24%, COIN −3.09% down. High-impact, multi-thread session.

📊

Pre-Market Snapshot

Risk-On into NFP · Crypto Lone Red
S&P 500 Futures
7,400
+0.50%
Above 7,337 cash close
Nasdaq 100 Futures
28,892
+0.73%
AI-infra leadership
Dow Futures
49,852
+0.31%
Cyclicals follow
Russell 2000 Futures
2,862
+0.48%
Small-caps participate
VIX
17.06
−0.12%
Sleepy for jobs morning
10Y Yield
4.392%
+0.00%
NFP-binary level
2Y Yield
3.800%
—
FRED prev close
30Y Yield
4.969%
+0.00%
Just under 5%
2s/10s Spread
+59.2 bp
—
Continued steepener
DXY
97.84
−0.28%
Soft dollar
WTI Crude
$94.78
−0.03%
Iran ceasefire holds
Brent Crude
$101
+0.55%
Stratospheric absolute
Gold
$4,733
+0.46%
Hard-asset bid
Bitcoin
$80,273
−0.82%
$300M futures liqs
Ethereum
$2,293
−1.57%
Lone red asset class
Key read: Risk-on tone heading into NFP — equity futures green across the board with Nasdaq leading (+0.73%) on the AI-infra bid. VIX at 17.06 is sleepy for a jobs morning, dollar is soft (−0.28% in DXY), and gold is firm at $4,733 — a classic "soft-data, soft-dollar, hard-asset" pre-print posture. Crude is stratospheric in absolute terms (WTI $94.78 / Brent $101) but barely budging this morning as the Iran ceasefire narrative holds. Crypto is the lone red asset class: BTC under $80K with $300M in futures liquidations overnight, ETH −1.57%. Curve is +59 bp positive — a continued steepener vs. the inverted regime of 2024-25.
🌍

Overnight & Global

Asia Mixed · Europe Red · Kospi +1.97%

Asia — Mixed → Soft, Kospi Outlier

Tokyo's Nikkei finished −0.19% with Toyota dragging after Q4 profit missed badly (−49% YoY hit from U.S. tariffs) and Nintendo guiding lower on Switch 2 pricing into a memory-shortage crunch. Hang Seng −0.87%. The standout was Kospi +1.97% — Korean tape ripping on the SK hynix story (customers reportedly offering to buy EUV machines and fund new fabs as memory hits zero capacity), a clean beneficiary read-through to memory pricing power.

Kospi +1.97% Nikkei −0.19% Hang Seng −0.87%

Europe — Broadly Red, U.S. Faded

DAX −0.75%, CAC 40 −0.71%, FTSE 100 −0.14%. The U.S.-listed Europe ETFs tell a more nuanced story — FEZ (Eurozone 50) +1.04% and IEV (Europe broad) +0.15% in U.S. trading, suggesting the European cash session weakness was being faded by U.S. flows pre-market.

DAX −0.75% CAC −0.71% FEZ +1.04%

Takeaway — "U.S. Exceptionalism" Trade

Asia + Europe weakness vs. green U.S. futures = the "U.S. exceptionalism / AI premium" trade is doing its thing again. Watch whether NFP confirms the soft-landing thesis or breaks it.

U.S. exceptionalism AI premium intact NFP is the test
📅

Today’s Calendar

NFP 8:30 · Trump 12:00 · 4 Fed 19:30
Time (ET) Event Consensus Prior Impact
4:30 Jobs Report (NFP advance) — — High
5:45 FOMC Member Cook Speaks — — Low
8:30 Non-Farm Payrolls 65K 178K Critical
8:30 Unemployment Rate 4.3% 4.3% High
8:30 Average Hourly Earnings m/m 0.3% 0.2% High
10:00 Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment 49.7 47.6 Medium
10:00 Prelim UoM 1-Yr Inflation Expectations — 4.8% Medium
10:00 Final Wholesale Inventories m/m 1.4% 1.4% Low
12:00 President Trump Speaks — — Medium
19:30 FOMC Member Waller Speaks — — High
19:30 FOMC Member Bowman Speaks — — High
19:30 FOMC Member Daly Speaks — — High
19:30 FOMC Member Goolsbee Speaks — — High
NFP consensus 65K vs. prior 178K — that's a sharp deceleration call. A print in line confirms the cooling-but-not-cracking narrative; an upside surprise (>120K) would reset the cuts curve and pressure duration; a downside miss (<25K) plus a tick higher in unemployment to 4.4-4.5% would be the genuine "growth scare" trigger. AHE 0.3% m/m vs. 0.2% prior — slight reacceleration in wages would complicate the disinflation story. UoM 49.7 vs. 47.6 prior — still recessionary in absolute terms, but a small bounce. The 1-yr inflation expectation (prior 4.8%) is the line item to watch — anything above 5.0% is genuinely sticky. Four Fed speakers post-close (19:30 ET) is an abnormal cluster — after-hours dollar/futures volatility risk into the weekend.
🔥

Pre-Market Movers

5 Tier 1/2 Names >3% · AI-Infra Bifurcates

To the Upside (>3%)

TickerPriceChangeSectorDriver
AKAM $147 +26.19% — Earnings pop ("soaring >25%")
FLNC $23.65 +24.67% Energy Storage T1 Watchlist Z 7.5 verify Vertical move
FROG $65.49 +14.85% — Earnings beat
IREN $62.23 +9.46% — Nvidia AI infra deal
RKLB $84.80 +7.92% Space T1 Watchlist Golden Dome interceptor JV w/ Raytheon
BE $272 +5.20% Energy Storage T3 Watchlist Cohort lift
WEST $6.16 +4.41% — —
MP $71.84 +3.93% Critical Minerals T1 Watchlist Rare-earth bid; above SMA200 ($63.14)
OUST $25.46 +3.86% Robotics T3 Watchlist —
MNTS $4.57 +3.63% Space T3 Watchlist Cohort lift
PL $36.34 +3.13% Space T1 Watchlist +91% above SMA200 ($19.06)

To the Downside (>3%)

TickerPriceChangeSectorDriver
AMPH $19.51 −18.81% — Earnings/guide
NET $213 −16.99% Cyber T2 Watchlist 1,100 layoffs (20%) "due to AI"
CRWV $120 −7.24% AI Infra T3 Watchlist Weak guide, capex creep
COIN $187 −3.09% — Q1 miss + AWS-blamed outage

Watchlist Tag-Ins

Upside: FLNC, RKLB, MP, PL all Tier 1; BE/MNTS/OUST Tier 3 confirm. Downside: NET, CRWV — cyber and AI-infra dispersion. Five Tier 1/2 names with >3% pre-market moves on a HEAVY day — that's a setup-rich tape.

Data Quality FLNC (z=7.5), FTNT (z=3.1, $107), ROK (z=3.2, $460) all flagged as statistical anomalies. FLNC's move is corroborated by the +24.67% change column so it appears real, but the magnitude warrants confirmation against headlines before sizing. FTNT and ROK z-scores may simply reflect new highs — both show small/positive % changes and clean moving-average structure.

Movers signal: Today's tape is a two-engine setup: thematic catalysts (rare-earth, Golden Dome, AI-infra capex) lifting Tier 1 watchlist names, against single-name idiosyncratic earnings dispersion (AKAM/FROG/AMPH/COIN). NET −16.99% is the largest cyber-name AI dislocation print so far this cycle, and CRWV's weak guide is the second consecutive AI-infra capex tell. Net: long bias is intact but rotation within AI-infra (CRWV down vs. IREN/GLW up) is now a tradeable theme.
🎯

Thesis Watchlist

No BMO Prints · Defense RSI 19-28

Reporting Today

No watchlist names report today. Next on the slate: CEG (Mon May 11, before open) — Constellation Energy is the marquee nuclear-power read-through into the AI-data-center capex theme. After CEG: NVDA May 20, ZS May 26.

Notable Tier 1 Moves > ±3% / RSI Extremes

  • FLNC +24.67% (RSI 73 overbought) — price $23.65 vs SMA20 $13.56 / SMA50 $14.51 / SMA200 $15.94. Now ~48% above the 200-day; vertical move that demands catalyst confirmation. Z 7.5
  • RKLB +7.92% (RSI 51) — price $84.80 vs SMA200 $62.73 (+35% above). RSI 51 means no overbought condition despite the rip. Driver: Rocket Lab joins Raytheon on Golden Dome interceptor program. Earnings Aug 6.
  • MP +3.93% (RSI 60) — price $71.84 vs SMA50 $58.85 / SMA200 $63.14. Rare-earth thematic continues to bid; Trump-Xi summit dynamics keep this sensitive.
  • PL +3.13% (RSI 50) — Planet Labs at $36.34 vs SMA200 $19.06 — nearly double the 200-day. RSI 50 means there's still room.
  • NET −16.99% — print at $213 vs SMA200 $204 — sitting on the 200-day. A close below puts NET in trend trouble. Catalyst: 20% headcount reduction announced as "AI-driven."
  • CRWV −7.24% — price $120 vs SMA200 $100. Still above trend, but AI-infra dispersion (CRWV down, IREN up, GLW up) is becoming a tradeable theme.

Deep-Oversold Tier 1 Cluster (RSI ≤ 30)

TickerSectorRSIPriceSMA200Read
NOCDefense RSI 19$552$621 Deepest OS in cohort — ~11% below SMA200
LDOSCyber RSI 22$132$179 Deep OS below all moving averages
LHXDefense RSI 24$302$311 Just lost the 200-day
SYKRobotics RSI 27$298$363 ~18% below SMA200
LMTDefense RSI 28$512$525 Sitting at the 200-day
CACICyber RSI 34$490$552 Approaching OS regime
Defense-prime oversold cluster vs. Space rip: NOC/LMT/LHX/RTX RSI 37 sitting at all-time-deep oversold while RKLB +7.92% and CW Tier 3 +2.84%. The capital is rotating from primes to space/specialty. Watch for mean reversion if Trump's 12:00 ET remarks touch defense procurement or budget reconciliation. Overbought side: FTNT RSI 82, CGNX 81, FLNC 73, CRWD 70, PANW 71 — cyber and select robotics extended.

Key Technical Levels

TickerPriceSMA200Read
SPY~$733$673Well above trend
NET$213$204Line in the sand for Cloudflare today
NVDA$213$185+15% buffer ahead of May 20 earnings
MP$71.84$63.14Clean breakout, +14% above 200-day
NOC$552$621Primes 11% below trend — mean-reversion fuel if catalyst hits
⚡

Approaching Catalysts

CEG May 11 · OpEx May 15 · NVDA May 20
Today — 8:30 ET
Non-Farm Payrolls (65K cons / 178K prior)
Sharp deceleration call. In-line confirms cooling-but-not-cracking; upside surprise (>120K) resets cuts curve, pressures duration; downside miss (<25K) + UR tick to 4.4-4.5% triggers genuine "growth scare." AHE 0.3% / UR 4.3% complete the labor triplet.
Today — 10:00 ET
UoM Sentiment 49.7 + 1-Yr Inflation Expectations
Sentiment bounce 47.6 → 49.7 expected. The 1-yr inflation print is the more market-relevant line (prior 4.8%) — sub-4.5% is risk-on, above 5.0% is a problem.
Today — 12:00 ET
President Trump Speaks
Tape risk. Watch for Iran/tariff/rare-earth references. MP and rare-earth complex sensitive; defense primes potentially mean-revert higher on procurement language.
Today — 19:30 ET
Four-Fed Governor Cluster (Waller, Bowman, Daly, Goolsbee)
Abnormal cluster. After-hours dollar/futures volatility risk into the weekend. Don't carry naked vol short into Friday close.
May 11 (Mon, BMO)
CEG Earnings
Constellation Energy is the marquee nuclear-power read-through into the AI-data-center capex theme. First nuclear-power data-center proof point this cycle.
May 15 (Fri)
May Monthly OpEx
Typical pin-risk Friday — gamma compression and positioning resets typically heavy.
May 20 (Wed, BMO)
NVDA Earnings — The Print of the Cycle
Currently $213, ~15% above SMA200 ($185). The marquee print — AI-infra complex is rerating into it.
May 26 (Tue)
ZS Earnings
Cyber T1 follow-through after PAN-OS narrative cycle.
Jun 16-17
FOMC + SEP (dot plot)
Next FOMC + Summary of Economic Projections. The cuts-curve setpoint.
Jun 19
Triple Witch + S&P Rebalance (FOMC week convergence)
Convergence event — expiry, rebalance, and FOMC week all in one window. Gamma + flow risk.
📡

Sector Snapshot

9 Watchlist Sectors · Space Strongest
AI Infrastructure
Mixed-strong. NVDA +0.93%, AVGO +1.66%, VRT +2.66%, MU +2.56%, MRVL +2.83%, GLW +2.85%; CRWV −7.24% lone Tier 3 dropout. Net long bias.
Cybersecurity
Bifurcated. NET −16.99% headline; LDOS, CACI, ZS, S, NOW, CRWD red. PANW/FTNT extended (RSI 70/82). Defensive setup.
Defense & Aerospace
Rotation tape. Primes oversold red (NOC, LMT, LHX, RTX); specialty bid (RKLB +7.92%, CW +2.84%).
Energy Storage
FLNC +24.67% anchor. BE +5.20%, STEM +2.63%, TSLA +1.39%. Morrow EU bankruptcy = consolidation tailwind. Long bias.
Critical Minerals
MP +3.93%, ALB +1.96%, FCX +2.03%, SCCO +2.10%. Huayou-Atlantic Lithium + UK tin revival = capex bid.
Nuclear Energy
Constructive. CEG +1.51%, LEU +2.04%, OKLO +2.88%, UEC +1.62%. Australia uranium pivot + CEG print Mon. Long into earnings.
Quantum Computing
Steady. IONQ +1.49%, RGTI +1.73%, QBTS +1.73%, QUBT +1.14%. Quantum Motion $160M Series C; PQC urgency. Long bias.
Robotics & Automation
Mixed extended. CGNX RSI 81, OUST +3.86%, ROK +2.62%, TER +2.09%, ISRG +0.74%, SYK −0.74% (RSI 27 OS). Selective.
Space — Strongest
RKLB +7.92%, PL +3.13%, MNTS +3.63%, LUNR +2.74%, IRDM +1.29%, SPIR +1.86%. Golden Dome procurement + Lunar Outpost $30M.
🎭

Scenario Analysis — The NFP Trinary

65K cons · UR 4.3% · AHE 0.3%
Bull · Soft Landing Confirmed

NFP in-line/slight miss, UR holds, AHE soft

Continuation of the AI-infra bid. Goldilocks print — cooling enough to keep Fed cut path on, not enough to spark growth-scare. AI-infra leadership compounds; Russell participates.

  • SPX futures press through 7,400 toward RBC's 7,900 target
  • NDX leadership extends; FLNC/RKLB/MP/PL hold gains
  • 10Y holds 4.30-4.40% range; DXY drifts lower
  • Gold $4,733 + bonds bid + equities bid — everything-bid regime
  • Defense oversold cluster ignored into weekend
Base · Continuation

Mixed print; UoM neutral; Trump benign

Risk-on tone holds but doesn't impulse. Single-name dispersion is the trade — AKAM/FROG/IREN/RKLB/MP/PL hold; NET/CRWV/COIN sold. Anomaly compression starts in FLNC (z=7.5 typical 24-48h profile). Four-Fed cluster after-hours becomes the weekend wildcard.

  • SPX fut hold 7,400; rotation within sectors
  • VIX stays 17-handle through close
  • Gold holds bid as deal-hedge stays on
  • Watchlist alpha is Tier 1 dispersion, not index
  • Brent $100 keeps cycle-risk symmetric
Bear · Stagflation Echo

NFP miss + UoM inflation upside + ULC sticky

The worst combination — NFP <25K + UR up to 4.4-4.5% + UoM 1-yr expectations >5.0%. Stagflation cocktail flips duration, equities, dollar all simultaneously. Iran ceasefire collapse adds tail; crypto leverage purge spreads.

  • 10Y break above 4.50% hits long-multiple growth (NVDA, VRT, AVGO)
  • VIX above 19 invites de-grossing into Friday close
  • Defense violent squeeze: NOC/LMT/LHX/RTX bounce 3-5% on procurement comment
  • FLNC/CGNX anomaly cohort compresses 24-48h
  • BTC sub-$80K weekly close = structurally negative for risk
  • Brent $105+ revives oil-shock tail; ceasefire premium gone
The day's binary is NFP at 8:30 + the four-Fed cluster at 19:30. Cross-asset is positioned for the Goldilocks read — futures green, DXY soft, gold bid, curve steepening, VIX sleepy at 17.06. Bias: cautiously bullish, with weekend headline risk into the four-Fed cluster. The asymmetry is to the downside: a hot ULC + UoM inflation print into Trump 12:00 + four-Fed PM is the maximum-volatility configuration.
📰

News Highlights

Markets & Macro

  • Trump says U.S.-Iran ceasefire holds; AKAM, NET, IREN big earnings movers [Yahoo Finance]
  • RBC lifts S&P target to 7,900 — near Wall Street's highest [MarketWatch]
  • Stock funds shake off war shock to post best month since 2020 [Yahoo Finance]
  • Tech Download — Meta and Google enter agentic AI race ("agentic wars heat up") [CNBC]

Earnings

  • Coinbase posts steep Q1 loss after crypto slide; shares −4% [CNBC]
  • Cloudflare cuts 1,100 (20%) "due to AI changes" — first major AI-driven cyber-vendor headcount reset [Yahoo Finance]
  • Block (SQ) jumps post-earnings as job cuts pay off — AI-era cost-discipline counter-narrative [Barron's]
  • Toyota Q4 misses badly, −49% on U.S. tariffs — auto/tariff transmission is real [Yahoo Finance]
  • Nintendo hikes Switch 2 prices, expects sales decline on memory crunch [Yahoo Finance]

Defense & Space

  • Rocket Lab joins Raytheon on Golden Dome interceptor program — RKLB +7.92% catalyst [SpaceNews]
  • Saab CEO optimistic on Ukraine Gripen deal this year [Breaking Defense]
  • Lunar Outpost raises $30M [SpaceNews]

Cybersecurity

  • Linux "Dirty Frag" zero-day — root access on all major distros since 2017, no patches [Hacker News / BleepingComputer]
  • Ivanti EPMM CVE-2026-6973 RCE under active exploitation [Hacker News]
  • Zara breach — 197K records [BleepingComputer]
  • New PamDOORa Linux backdoor; PCPJack worm spreading via 5 CVEs [Hacker News]

Crypto

  • BTC retreats below $80,000, $300M futures liquidations [CoinDesk]
  • Coinbase blames AWS for hours-long outage — infrastructure-fragility story [CoinDesk]
  • S&P 500 call options volume hits record $2.6T [CoinDesk]
  • Zcash to roll out quantum-recoverable wallets within a month, fully quantum-proof by 2027 [CoinDesk]

Energy

  • WTI $94.78 (−0.03%); Brent $101 (+0.55%) — Iran ceasefire narrative holds
  • Crude is stratospheric in absolute terms but barely budging this morning

Semiconductors

  • SK hynix customers offering to fund EUV machines + new fabs as memory hits zero capacity — Kospi +1.97% read-through [Tom's Hardware]
  • AMD launches MI350P PCIe accelerator with 144GB HBM3E, ~40% faster FP16/FP8 than Nvidia H200 [Tom's Hardware]

Critical Minerals

  • Huayou agrees to acquire Atlantic Lithium [Mining Technology]
  • Sherritt craters on Cuba sanctions; B2Gold and McEwen beat; Gold Fields flags oil-shock cost pressure [Northern Miner]
  • Australian state may allow uranium mines after 40-year ban — UEC, NXE, CCJ, UUUU read-through [Northern Miner]

Quantum

  • Quantum Motion $160M Series C; South Korea expands PQC pilot; IonQ details Walking Cat fault-tolerance blueprint [Quantum Computing Report]

Energy Storage

  • Morrow (European ESS) files for bankruptcy — sector consolidation tailwind for FLNC, BE, STEM [Energy Storage News]

Fed & Policy

  • Cook on tokenization and financial-system implications — DLT/stablecoin policy on the radar
  • "Historic change at the Federal Reserve one week away" — unspecified but flagged [Yahoo Finance]
📖

Today’s Playbook

CAUTIOUSLY BULLISH · AI-INFRA + IRAN-CEASEFIRE TRADE

VIX 17.06 normal regime (−0.12%); SPY trend bullish; risk appetite moderate. The setup heading into NFP is constructive but not euphoric — vol has not been bid into the print, which means the market is treating the ceasefire as durable and is leaning toward an in-line jobs read. RBC's S&P target hike to 7,900 (current ~7,337) implies ~7.6% upside and reflects the consensus shift from "soft landing" to "AI-infra-led expansion." Stock funds had their best month since 2020 — momentum is real. The data: futures green, DXY softer, gold bid, curve steepening, AI-infra leadership intact (Nasdaq +0.73% > SPX +0.50% > Dow +0.31%), and idiosyncratic earnings dispersion rather than systemic stress. Both the Iran ceasefire and the AI-infra capex narrative (Nvidia-Corning, IREN-Nvidia, AMD MI350P launch) are doing the heavy lifting.

Bull Case Watch-Fors

  • NFP in-line / soft (45-75K); UR holds 4.3%; AHE 0.3% — Goldilocks read
  • UoM 1-yr inflation sub-4.5% — risk-on continuation
  • Trump 12:00 references rare-earth / procurement — defense mean-reverts higher
  • FLNC/RKLB/MP/PL hold gains into close; Tier 1 watchlist alpha
  • 10Y holds 4.30-4.40% range; gold + bonds + equities all bid
  • SPX futures press through 7,400 toward RBC 7,900 target

Bear Case Watch-Fors

  • NFP downside miss (<25K) + UoM inflation upside (>5.0%) — stagflation echo, worst combination
  • Iran ceasefire collapse — "NACHO trade" headlines suggest skepticism alive; Brent >$105 revives oil-shock tail
  • Crypto contagion — BTC sub-$80K with $300M liquidated; if leverage purge spreads to ETFs, equities react
  • Memory-shortage crunch turns from "pricing power" to "demand destruction" (Toyota −49%, Nintendo, motherboard −25%)
  • 10Y break above 4.50% — long-multiple growth (NVDA, VRT, AVGO) hit
  • Four-Fed cluster 19:30 hawkish into weekend — after-hours dollar/futures vol

Key Levels to Watch

  • SPX futures 7,400 — working; 7,337 cash prev close = pivot. Below 7,300 = short-term reversal
  • VIX 17.06 — above 19 = fear shift; below 15 = full risk-on capitulation
  • 10Y 4.392% — break above 4.50% adds duration pressure to long-multiple growth
  • DXY 97.84 — under 97 keeps gold/EM/commodities bid; above 99 reverses
  • BTC $80,000 — broken intraday; weekly close below = structurally negative for risk
  • Brent $101 — back through $100 down negates oil-shock tail; $105+ revives it
  • NET SMA200 $204 — pre-market $213 is the line in the sand for Cloudflare today

Risk Factors (Ranked)

  • NFP downside miss + UoM inflation upside = stagflation echo, worst combination for risk.
  • Iran ceasefire collapse — the "NACHO trade" headlines (bets on prolonged oil shock) suggest skepticism is alive.
  • Crypto contagion — BTC sub-$80K with $300M liquidated; if the leverage purge spreads to ETFs and prime brokers, equities react.
  • Memory-shortage crunch — supply-chain damage now visible in Toyota (−49%), Nintendo, motherboard sales (−25%); could turn from "pricing power" to "demand destruction."
  • Fed hawkish chorus tonight — four governors at 19:30 ET into a weekend.
  • "Historic Fed change one week away" — unspecified but flagged; do not be surprised by structural policy news next week.

Playbook by Window

  • Pre-print (now → 8:30): Volume light, positioning quiet. No reason to add into the print.
  • NFP reaction (8:30 → 9:30): Trade the surprise direction off 65K / 4.3% UR / 0.3% AHE. In-line = AI-infra continuation; downside miss = duration bid + cyclicals weak; upside surprise = curve steepens, defensives lag, financials/cyclicals catch a bid.
  • UoM 10:00: 1-yr inflation print is the market-relevant line; sub-4.5% = risk-on, above 5.0% = problem.
  • Trump 12:00: Iran/tariff/rare-earth references move MP and defense primes; tape risk.
  • Post-close 19:30: Four-Fed cluster. Weekend headline risk. Don't carry naked vol short into Friday close.
  • Market Data
  • Schwab API — US equities, futures, ETFs, $TNX/$TYX
  • Stooq — International indices (DXY, Kospi, FTSE)
  • CoinGecko — BTC, ETH
  • FRED — Treasury yields (timed out on this run; 2Y at prior close)
  • News & Analysis
  • RSS feeds — CNBC, Yahoo Finance, Seeking Alpha, CoinDesk, ANS Nuclear Newswire, Tom’s Hardware, Hacker News, BleepingComputer, The Quantum Insider, Quantum Computing Report, Mining Technology, Northern Miner, The Robot Report, Energy Storage News, CleanTechnica, SpaceNews, NASA, Breaking Defense, Defense.gov, MarketWatch, Barron's
  • Schwab earnings calendar · Schwab economic calendar
  • BigPic automated pipeline
  • Data Quality
  • Completeness: 100% (66/66 data points)
  • FRED 2Y yield is prior-close (timeout); no critical fields impacted
  • Anomaly flags: FLNC z=7.5, FTNT z=3.1 ($107), ROK z=3.2 ($460). FLNC corroborated by sector-wide Energy Storage strength and the +24.67% change field; FTNT/ROK appear consistent with new-high price action rather than data error, but discrete confirmation recommended before sizing.
  • Collected 11:39:01 PT, May 8 2026