Tuesday, May 12, 2026
HEAVY EVENT LOAD

Three Macro Hinges, One Session

US April CPI at 8:30 ET, Fed Chair nomination vote at noon, Google I/O 2026 all day. Oil up 3%+ on renewed Iran tensions, UK gilts at post-2008 peak pressuring DM duration, Kospi crashes −4.29% on AI-buildout-cost questioning. Futures red across the board with NDX leading lower −0.88%. The 30Y at 4.986% sits one move from the psychological 5% line. This is a tape that punishes complacency — size to headline risk, not the calm 18.80 VIX print.

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Pre-Market Snapshot

Classic Pre-CPI Defensive Posture
S&P 500 Futures
7,407
−0.40%
Cash 7,413 — bulls need reclaim
Nasdaq 100 Futures
29,166
−0.88%
AI-cost questioning leads lower
Dow Futures
49,743
−0.10%
Relative outperformer — defensives
Russell 2000 Futures
2,868
−0.40%
Small-caps tracking SPX
VIX
18.80
+2.29%
Hedges loading event-specific
10Y Yield
4.410%
+0.00%
Steady-firm into CPI
2Y Yield
3.800%
FRED prev close (timeout)
30Y Yield
4.986%
+0.00%
One move from 5% line
2s/10s Spread
+0.610%
Steepest in many months
DXY
98.15
+0.29%
Break 98.50 = EM headwind
WTI Crude
$101
+3.17%
Through $100 — CPI forward risk
Brent Crude
$107
+3.01%
Iran ceasefire fragile
Gold
$4,709
−0.41%
No haven bid — classic pre-CPI
Bitcoin (proxy)
$35.67
−1.57%
Below 200-day $41.09
Ethereum (proxy)
$21.68
−2.43%
Crypto-tape warning
Key read: Classic pre-CPI defensive posture with NDX leading the downside (−0.88%) on AI-buildout-cost questioning (Iren-led pullback) and stretched semis. Dow the relative outperformer (−0.10%) as defensives/energy hold up. The 30Y at 4.986% is the standout — within striking distance of the psychological 5% line, and the curve at +61 bp is the steepest in many months. Oil through $100 is the new variable cooked into the CPI print: today's report measures April, but the Iran-tension oil spike here threatens the forward disinflation glide path. Per Opus market intel, spot BTC is hovering near $80–82K with weak conviction; the Schwab Bitcoin proxy ($35.67) tracks a vehicle (IBIT-like) trading below its 200-day at $41.09 — a notable bearish technical for crypto-adjacent risk.

Data-quality callout: FRED read timed out (2Y at prior close). Eight anomaly z-scores flagged (AAPL z 3.1, QCOM z 6.2, GLW z 3.1, ISRG z −4.4, IONQ z 3.1, QUBT z 5.1, RKLB z 4.1, FLNC z 3.4) — all consistent with corroborating news; no Schwab TRIN/UVOL/DVOL overflow seen today. Completeness 100% (66/66).
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Overnight & Global

Kospi Crash · Europe Heavy · UK Political Tail

Asia — Kospi Crash

Mixed but dominated by an outright Kospi crash of −4.29% — flagged in headlines as "South Korea AI comments" weighing globally. This is a major signal for the AI-buildout-cost narrative: Kospi houses the world's leading HBM/memory exporters (Samsung, SK Hynix). The Samsung strike threat to HBM production noted in the news flow is adding fuel. Nikkei held green +0.52% helped by defense/heavy-industry strength. Hang Seng modestly weaker (−0.22%).

Nikkei +0.52% Kospi −4.29% Hang Seng −0.22%

Europe — Broadly Heavy

DAX leading lower (−1.02%) — German autos, industrials, chips all pressured. The UK political situation (Starmer "unlikely to last the year") has post-2008-peak gilt yields driving global duration concerns. FTSE held best (−0.17%) thanks to oil-major and miner offsets. Australia (EWA) −1.33% tracking the commodity/risk move. STOXX 50 (FEZ) −0.91%, IEV −0.69%.

DAX −1.02% CAC −0.57% FTSE −0.17%

Takeaway — AI Cost Discount + UK Tail

The cleanest read: Kospi −4.29% is the AI-buildout-cost trade going global, and it's now feeding the U.S. NDX gap-down through the HBM/memory channel. Pair that with UK political/gilt risk (DM duration) and Iran/oil tension, and you have a three-way headline tape ahead of CPI. Nikkei green on defense/heavy-industry is the one bright spot — pure risk-off-defensive-bid rotation. Index futures down 0.40–0.88% confirm the unwinding mood.

AI cost discount UK gilt peak Oil +3%
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Today’s Calendar

CPI 8:30 · Fed Chair Vote 12:00 · Google I/O All Day
Time (ET) Event Consensus Prior Impact
All day GOOG: Google I/O 2026 High
4:30 UK/Global CPI Report High
6:00 NFIB Small Business Index 96.1 95.8 Low
8:15 ADP Weekly Employment Change 39.3K Low
8:30 US CPI m/m 0.6% 0.9% Critical
8:30 US Core CPI m/m 0.3% 0.2% Critical
8:30 US CPI y/y 3.7% 3.3% Critical
12:00 Fed Chair Nomination Vote Pass High
13:00 FOMC Member Goolsbee Speaks Low
13:01 10-Year Bond Auction 4.28 / 2.4 BTC Medium
14:00 Federal Budget Balance $157.2B −$164.1B Low
15:15 FOMC Member Williams Speaks Low
16:30 API Weekly Statistical Bulletin Low
The day's spine: CPI prints at 8:30. Consensus expects y/y to accelerate to 3.7% from 3.3% — a problematic re-acceleration already baked in. Headline m/m forecast to cool to 0.6% from 0.9%, but core m/m is expected to tick up to 0.3% from 0.2%. The asymmetry is bad either way: hot core m/m slams duration; hot headline + cooling core triggers oil-driven stagflation worry. The 10-year auction at 1:01 PM is the second pressure point — a tail here, with 30Y already at 4.986%, amplifies any AM duration move. Fed Chair confirmation vote at noon is more political theater than market mover (consensus: passes), but headline risk is non-zero. Google I/O runs concurrently — read-through for the AI build narrative.
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Pre-Market Movers

QUBT +24.4% · ASTS −11.8% · HIMS −15.4%

To the Upside (>3%)

TickerPriceChangeSectorDriver / Flag
QUBT $12.66 +24.36% Quantum T3 Quantum melt-up phase Z 5.1
PLUG $3.80 +7.96% Clean Energy Beat shaking out shorts
MNTS $5.94 +5.69% Space T3 Only green Space name on tape
RGTI $21.37 +4.19% Quantum T2 Quantum cohort sympathy
FLNC $26.15 +3.63% Energy Storage T1 RSI 83 · 78% above SMA-200 ($16.10) Z 3.4
/CLM26 $101 +3.17% Oil Futures WTI through $100 — Iran tension
/BZN26 $107 +3.01% Oil Futures Brent at multi-month high

To the Downside (>3%)

TickerPriceChangeSectorDriver / Flag
HIMS $24.65 −15.41% Health-Tech Q1 miss + weak guidance
ASTS $72.80 −11.81% Space Earnings disappointment — broke 200-day $74.19
ONON $32.04 −5.88% Consumer Q1 beat / "China growth" but Nike read-through
INTC $124 −4.27% Semis No specific catalyst — Kospi/chip drag
MARA $12.84 −4.11% Crypto-AI Dumping $1.5B BTC pivoting to AI infra
GME $22.28 −3.84% Retail No specific catalyst
RKLB $113 −3.37% Space T1 RSI 73 · 78% above 200-day Z 4.1
LUNR $31.44 −3.02% Space T1 Still 107% above SMA-200 — pullback room

Watchlist Tag-Ins

  • T1 FLNC +3.63% — anomaly z=3.4, RSI now 83 (deeply overbought), stretched 78% above SMA-200 ($16.10)
  • T1 RKLB −3.37% — anomaly z=4.1, cooling from highs; RSI still 73 with price 78% above the 200-day
  • T1 LUNR −3.02% — pulling back but still 107% above SMA-200
  • ASTS −11.81% on earnings — significant for space sentiment; broke down through 200-day $74.19
  • News-driven detail: HIMS Q1 miss + weak guide; PLUG beat; MARA dumping BTC to pivot AI infra; INTC weakness no specific catalyst; ONON beating Q1 but trading down on Nike read-through; CCJ headlines on Saskatchewan mill flood halt
  • Anomaly z > 3: AAPL, QCOM, GLW, ISRG (z −4.4), IONQ, QUBT, RKLB, FLNC — sanity-check at the open
Watchlist signal: Four T1 names breach the 3% mover threshold pre-bell — three of them down (RKLB, LUNR, ASTS-adjacent space cluster) and one up (FLNC, but overbought). The ASTS −12% on earnings is the "space froth" tell — if RKLB / LUNR can't hold, the high-RSI space cluster unwinds. Quantum is in pure melt-up phase (QUBT +24%, RGTI +4%, IONQ +3%) — tier-3 tactical only.
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Thesis Watchlist

No T1 Earnings · NVDA 5/20 The Big One

Tier 1 Oversold Cluster (RSI < 35) — Mean-Reversion Candidates

TickerSectorRSIRead
NOC Defense 18 $550 vs SMA-50 of $666 — deepest OS in cohort. Earnings 7/21 DEEP OS
LDOS Cybersec 20 $128 vs SMA-200 of $178. Earnings 7/28
SYK Robotics 22 $284 vs SMA-200 of $362
LHX Defense 27 $303 vs SMA-200 of $311 — right at the line
ISRG Robotics 30 $420 with anomaly Z −4.4 — down sharply, 16% below SMA-200
LMT Defense 30 $513 vs SMA-200 of $526 — just under long-term support
CACI Cybersec 32 $475 vs SMA-200 of $552
ANET AI Infra 35 $135 vs SMA-200 of $139 — below 200-day, first time in a while

Overbought (RSI > 70) — Mind Reversion Risk Into CPI

TickerSectorRSIRead
FTNT Cybersecurity 85 $115 · 38% above SMA-200. Earnings 8/5 — most overbought name
FLNC Energy Storage 83 +3.63% pre-mkt; stretched 78% above SMA-200 Z 3.4
CGNX Robotics 82 +49% above SMA-200 — rare robotics melt-up
PANW Cybersecurity 78 $212 — earnings 6/2
CRWD Cybersecurity 76 $536 vs SMA-200 $458 — 17% above, earnings 6/3
TSLA Energy Storage 74 $439 · 8% above SMA-200
RKLB Space 73 −3.37% pre-mkt; cooling but 78% above 200-day Z 4.1
IONQ Quantum 71 +2.98% pre-mkt — quantum cohort lift
VRT AI Infra 70 $361 · +81% vs SMA-200 — at threshold

Key Technical Levels (Pre-Market)

  • NOC $550 vs SMA-200 $621 — needs reclaim attempt; currently deep in the trash bin
  • ANET $135 — just below SMA-200 ($139). Reclaim = bullish reversal signal
  • LMT $513 — just below SMA-200 ($526). Same setup as ANET
  • CCJ $119 vs SMA-200 $98.68 — uranium leader still healthy despite mill-halt news
  • CRWD $536 vs SMA-200 $458 — 17% above the 200-day, but RSI 76
  • BTC proxy $35.67 vs SMA-200 $41.09 — below the 200-day, meaningful crypto-tape warning
Watchlist setup: No watchlist earnings today. Next watchlist earnings: NVDA (May 20, BMO) — eight sessions away, biggest catalyst on the calendar. The structural tape is cyclical-quality oversold (NOC/LMT/SYK/LDOS/CACI/ISRG) as the cleanest mean-reversion candidates if CPI cools — but require the bond market to cooperate. Overbought-cyber cluster (FTNT 85, PANW 78, CRWD 76) is the obvious profit-taking pocket on a hot print.

Approaching Catalysts

CPI Today · NVDA 5/20 · ZS 5/26
Today — 8:30 ET
US CPI Trio — The Day's Spine
Headline m/m 0.6% (cooling from 0.9%), Core m/m 0.3% (ticking up from 0.2%), y/y 3.7% (re-accelerating from 3.3%). Consensus is asymmetric to the upside (bad) — a cooler print is the only "happy path" for risk. Oil through $100 makes a forward downshift harder.
Today — 12:00 ET
Fed Chair Nomination Vote
More political theater than market mover (consensus: passes), but headline risk is non-zero. Watch for headline-misread risk in thin Tuesday tape.
Today — All day
Google I/O 2026
Read-through for the AI build narrative — watch GOOG ($383, T2), NVDA, VRT, ASIC themes. Pairs with the Kospi/HBM/AI-cost discount as the day's AI-flavor question.
Today — 13:01 ET
10-Year Bond Auction
Second pressure point. A tail here, with 30Y already at 4.986%, amplifies any AM duration move. Prior: 4.28% / 2.4 BTC.
Wed May 20
NVDA Earnings — 8 Trading Days
Single biggest watchlist catalyst. AI complex tape into next Wednesday will dominate. Kospi/HBM/AI-cost reading today is the setup tell.
Tue May 26
ZS Earnings — First Cyber Watchlist Print
Opens the back-to-back cybersec cluster (ZS, then PANW 6/2, then CRWD 6/3). FTNT (RSI 85) and PANW (RSI 78) already stretched into the cluster.
Jun 16–17
FOMC + SEP (Triple-Witch Week)
Coincides with June Triple Witch per the structural calendar. Most consequential calendar event in next 30 days.
Thu Jun 26
Russell Reconstitution
Historically generates ~$100B in flows — a known turn-of-tape event worth pre-positioning around.
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Sector Snapshot

AI Infrastructure
Heavy — T1 all red (NVDA −0.83%, AVGO −1.11%, ANET −0.75%, TSM −1.69%, VRT −1.91%). Kospi/HBM drag + Iren buildout-cost discount. T3 worst: AMD −2.70%, ASML −2.56%, MU −2.75%, MRVL −2.89%
Cybersecurity
Mixed-defensive — T1 all overbought (FTNT 85 RSI, PANW 78, CRWD 76) and slightly red. Oversold tail (LDOS 20, CACI 32) holding flat
Defense & Aerospace
Slight green tilt — rotation pocket. LMT, RTX, NOC, LHX all +0.18 to +0.38%. RSIs deeply oversold across the board; quality value setup
Critical Minerals
Mostly red — ALB −0.66%, FCX −0.73%, MP −0.40%, SCCO −1.20%. Silver/Gold bid on Iran tension only marginally helping equities
Quantum Computing
Pure euphoria — QUBT +24.36%, RGTI +4.19%, QBTS +2.18%, IONQ +2.98%. Foundations weaker (IBM −0.05%, HON −0.11%, GOOG −1.06%)
Energy Storage
Bifurcated — FLNC +3.63% (stretched), but TSLA −1.45%, BE −1.54%, SEDG −0.84%
Nuclear Energy
Soft — CCJ −0.91% (mill halt), CEG −0.59%, VST −0.69%, OKLO −2.28%, SMR −2.48%. Bruce C + HALEU positive long-term, no near-term catalyst
Robotics & Automation
Heavy — ISRG anomaly z=−4.4 at $420; SYK RSI 22 deeply oversold; TER −2.44%. CGNX rare melt-up at RSI 82
Space
Top-heavy unwind — RKLB −3.37%, LUNR −3.02%, ASTS −11.81%, RDW −2.80%, PL −2.96%, SPIR −1.93%. Only MNTS (+5.69%) green — first real distribution day after multi-month rip
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Scenario Analysis — The CPI Trinary

m/m 0.6% · Core m/m 0.3% · y/y 3.7%
Bull · Cool CPI Surprise

Headline & Core both miss to the downside

The only "happy path" left for risk. Disinflation glide path intact despite oil pop; duration finds bid; oversold cyclical-quality (NOC/LMT/SYK/LDOS/CACI/ISRG) gets the cleanest mean-reversion squeeze.

  • SPX futures reclaim cash close 7,413; NDX gap-fill the 0.88% red
  • 10Y back under 4.30%; 30Y holds below 5%
  • VIX fades back to 16-handle into Fed Chair vote
  • Defense cluster (NOC, LMT, LHX, RTX) violent +3-5% squeeze
  • Cybersec overbought (FTNT 85, PANW 78, CRWD 76) holds the ceiling
  • Oil pop fades as "April CPI" framed as backward-looking
Base · In-Line Re-Acceleration

y/y 3.7% prints in-line; Core m/m 0.3% as expected

The expected pain — market is positioned for it, so the gap-fill is the trade. Algos overshoot in the first 15 min then reverse; the right edge is 30–60 min after. Single-name dispersion is the alpha, not index.

  • SPX futures hold 7,400; rotation within sectors
  • 10Y oscillates 4.40–4.50%; auction at 1:01 PM the swing
  • VIX hovers 18–19, doesn't crack 20
  • Watchlist alpha: T1 dispersion, not index direction
  • Space cluster (RKLB, LUNR, ASTS) continues to unwind
  • Quantum melt-up (QUBT, RGTI, IONQ) continues unrelated to macro
Bear · Stagflation Cocktail

Hot Core m/m + oil prints $103+ + 10Y auction tails

The worst combination — hot core slams duration; oil-driven forward inflation worries compound. 30Y at 4.986% pushes through 5%. AI-cost discount accelerates as the Kospi crash narrative reaches the U.S. mega-cap-tech complex.

  • 10Y break above 4.50% hits long-multiple growth (NVDA, VRT, AVGO)
  • 30Y prints 5%+ — multiple-rerating across megacap-tech
  • VIX cracks 20 — regime change to elevated
  • Cybersec mega-caps (FTNT 85, PANW 78, CRWD 76) get profit-taking pocket
  • Space cluster unwinds further; RKLB/LUNR retest 50-day
  • BTC sub-$80K weekly close = structurally negative for risk
  • Defense oversold cluster ignored as broad de-grossing dominates
The day's binary is CPI at 8:30 + the 10Y auction at 1:01 PM. Cross-asset is positioned defensively but not panicked — futures down 0.40–0.88%, VIX +2.29% but only at 18.80, gold soft, oil bid, DXY firm. The asymmetry skews to the bear scenario: consensus already expects re-acceleration (y/y 3.3% → 3.7%), so an in-line print isn't relief — only a cool print is. Don't fade the CPI gap in the first 15 minutes — the algos overshoot; the right edge is 30–60 minutes after.
📰

News Highlights

UK Political · AI Zero-Day · Iran/Oil

Markets & Macro

  • UK MPs turning on PM Starmer — "unlikely to last the year" (CNBC, 11:17). Driver of post-2008-peak gilt yields
  • "Dow Futures Fall On $100 Oil, South Korea AI Comments; CPI Inflation Due" (Yahoo, 11:09) — the day-shaping headline
  • "Stocks Down Pre-Bell as Trump Warns US-Iran Ceasefire Fragile" (Yahoo, 11:07)
  • India April inflation rose for 6th straight month but undershot estimates (CNBC, 10:47)
  • Dot-com survivor: "AI build-out is more like 1997 than 1999" — urges more cash (MarketWatch, 10:58)

Earnings & Single-Name

  • HIMS: Q1 miss + weak guidance — −15.41% pre-bell
  • ASTS: Earnings disappointment — −11.81%, broke 200-day $74.19
  • PLUG: Beat shaking out shorts — +7.96%
  • ONON: Beat Q1 / "China growth" but down on Nike read-through (−5.88%)
  • INTC: −4.27% on broad chip drag from Kospi (no specific catalyst)

Defense & Aerospace

  • Saab launches new Carl-Gustaf munitions, expanding US + India production
  • Raytheon SeaRAM contract for Australian frigates — RTX read-through
  • SOCOM testing SkyFi satellite imagery prototype — small-space read-through
  • Taiwan parliament passes pared-back supplementary defense budget

Cybersecurity

  • Mini Shai-Hulud worm compromising TanStack, Mistral AI, Guardrails AI packages (Hacker News, 14:20) — supply-chain ongoing
  • Google reveals first AI-developed zero-day bypassing 2FA — self-morphing, Gemini-powered backdoors (Tom's Hardware, 10:40). Structural bullish for cyber-spend
  • OpenAI launches Daybreak for AI-powered vuln detection (Hacker News, 12:25) — read-through to CRWD, PANW
  • SAP critical patches for Commerce Cloud + S/4HANA (BleepingComputer, 7:04)
  • Instructure paying ransom to ShinyHunters to stop 3.65TB Canvas leak

Crypto

  • "Crypto markets stall before inflation data; XRP, SOL rebuffed from key levels" (CoinDesk, 11:15)
  • ETH/BTC ratio at 10-month low — ETH continues to underperform
  • MARA sold $1.5B BTC, pivoting to AI infrastructure — miner balance-sheet rotation
  • Ark Invest chasing CRCL stock to a 2-month high

Energy & Clean Energy

  • WTI +3.17% to $101; Brent +3.01% to $107 on Iran-ceasefire fragility
  • Ford launches "Ford Energy" division (CleanTechnica)
  • 34 Northvolt-sized factories at risk if EU scales back EV targets — read-through QS, ENPH, FLNC, SEDG
  • EPA loosening power-plant pollution rules — coal/gas tailwind, ESG headwind

Nuclear

  • NNSA receives largest-ever HALEU shipment from Japan — LEU/CCJ macro tailwind
  • Bruce Power + Ontario reach $300M predevelopment deal on Bruce C — uranium demand tailwind
  • Cameco halts Saskatchewan uranium mill after floods — CCJ −0.91% pre-bell

Quantum & Frontier

  • IQM launches HPC integration service for hybrid quantum-HPC adoption
  • Algorithmiq raises €18M, HQ in Milan
  • NYU Quantum Institute + IBM team up for postdoctoral research program
  • Tape signal: QUBT +24.36%, RGTI +4.19%, IONQ +2.98%, QBTS +2.18% — pure cohort melt-up
📖

Today’s Playbook

CAUTIOUS / EVENT-DRIVEN NEUTRAL · Downside Skew Into CPI

VIX 18.80 (+2.29%) — normal regime, trend bullish on SPY per the briefing's market-context block. But VIX +2.29% pre-CPI tells you positioning has loaded some protection. The disconnect between normal-regime VIX and an event-heavy day implies hedges are concentrated in event-specific options (CPI strikes) rather than broad-tape vol. CPI consensus is asymmetric to the upside (bad): a beat (cooler print) is the only "happy path" left for risk, and oil through $100 makes a forward downshift harder. Oil + dollar both up + yields steady-firm is a stagflation-flavored cocktail. The 30Y at 4.986% is one move from 5%.

Bull Case Watch-Fors

  • Cool CPI print (headline + core both miss) — only happy path left
  • Cyclical-quality oversold cluster bounces — NOC, LMT, SYK, LDOS, CACI, ISRG cleanest mean-reversion if bond market cooperates
  • ES futures reclaim 7,413 cash post-CPI — neutralizes pre-bell red
  • 10Y back under 4.30%; 30Y holds below 5%
  • VIX fades back to 16 handle — melt-up resumes
  • Google I/O surprises positively — reignites AI-build narrative ahead of NVDA 5/20

Bear Case Watch-Fors

  • Hot core m/m (>0.3%) — slams duration; 10Y breaks 4.50%, equity multiples re-rate
  • 30Y prints 5%+ — psychological line breaks; long-multiple growth gets hit hardest
  • 10Y auction at 1:01 PM tails — amplifies AM duration move
  • VIX cracks 20 — regime flips from normal to elevated
  • Iran ceasefire actually collapses — Brent +5% scenario adds stagflation tail
  • Space cluster (RKLB, LUNR, ASTS) unwinds further — "first distribution day" confirms top-heavy tape

Key Levels to Watch

  • ES futures 7,407 — cash close was 7,413; bulls need reclaim post-CPI to neutralize the pre-bell red
  • Nasdaq 29,166 futures — the −0.88% lead lower; cash NDX close was 26,274 (watch morning gap-fill behavior)
  • 10Y 4.41% — break of 4.50% post-CPI = equity-negative
  • VIX 20 — round-number psychological breach shifts regime from "normal" to "elevated"
  • 30Y 4.986% — one move from 5% — psychological line for equity multiples
  • DXY 98.15 — holding bid; break of 98.50 = added EM/commodity headwind

Risk Factors (Ranked)

  • CPI gap risk — don't fade the first 15 min. Algos overshoot; the right edge is 30–60 minutes after
  • 10Y auction tail at 1:01 PM with 30Y already at 4.986% — bond-market plumbing under pressure
  • Trump–Iran ceasefire framed "fragile" — headline risk all day; oil to $103+ is the breakout watch
  • UK PM political crisis — post-2008 gilt-peak driving DM duration concerns
  • Trump–Xi summit looming — geo-tape risk into NVDA print
  • Energy/Oil longs — already running +3%, chasing here poor R/R
  • Anomaly-flagged tickers (AAPL, QCOM, GLW, ISRG, IONQ, QUBT, RKLB, FLNC) — verify print/feed quality at the open before sizing
  • Watch ASTS −12% as the "space froth" tell — if RKLB/LUNR can't hold, the high-RSI space cluster unwinds
  • Market Data
  • Schwab API — US equities, futures, ETFs, $TNX/$TYX, technicals, FX
  • Stooq — International indices (DXY, FTSE, Kospi)
  • CoinGecko — BTC, ETH cross-check
  • FRED — Treasury yields (timed out; 2Y carried at prior close)
  • Yahoo Finance — sector/commodity context
  • News & Analysis
  • RSS feeds — CNBC, Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch, CoinDesk, Tom’s Hardware, Breaking Defense, SpaceNews, ANS, The Hacker News, BleepingComputer, Seeking Alpha, Reuters, Barron’s, Quantum Insider, Mining Tech, Northern Miner, CleanTechnica, Defense.gov (26 of 26 OK; 530ms avg)
  • Cleveland Fed economic calendar
  • BigPic automated pipeline + Opus market-intel feed
  • Data Quality
  • Completeness: 100% (66/66 data points)
  • FRED timeout on 2Y yield — carried at prior close
  • Anomaly z-scores > 3: AAPL ($292, 3.1), QCOM ($230, 6.2), GLW ($207, 3.1), ISRG ($420, −4.4), IONQ ($58.59, 3.1), QUBT ($12.66, 5.1), RKLB ($113, 4.1), FLNC ($26.15, 3.4) — all consistent with corroborating news; sanity-check before sizing
  • No Schwab TRIN/UVOL/DVOL overflow detected today
  • Schwab: $UVOL/$DVOL/$TRIN overflow occurs on ~11% of days — verify before sizing breadth trades (IB potential fallback)
  • Collected 11:38 PT, May 12 2026